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energy policy, trade with china, reregulation of wall street. and now this, taxing all those jobs creators, all those small businesses. i don't know why you would want to invest in this country now. gerri: let me ask you this. the congressional budget office has out its numbers. if the fiscal cliff hits they say u.s. gdp would shrink by half a percentage point and that unemployment will rise to over 9%. do you think they have the rights or are they just too conservative? will it be worse? >> if we actually went over the cliff we would be subtracted from domestic demand over $600 billion. that is about four percentage points in gdp. most economists were forecasting in the first half of next year hardly 2 percent growth. if you subtract 4% to spending from that year and a recession that is much deeper. the cbo tense and not be alarmist because they say what they are partisan, but congress read it paycheck, and they don't want to say congress is being irresponsible and thrusting the economy into the next great depression. gerri: then know whether paycheck comes from. did you know tha
let's go to another name that you say is a great u.s. play, on china stabilizing and growing. >> yes, and that's starbucks. starbucks a great american company. everybody needs a good cup of coffee. in china there is only one starbucks for every 1.9 inhabitants, can you believe that when we have one basically on every corner? [laughter] so there's tremendous opportunity there. you've got the tea growers in china, a lot of them are now switching to coffee because of starbucks, so that's a double play for you. liz: wait until they find out what a frappucino tastes like. >> oh, look out, china. liz: two pharma companies, what do you think are the big names here because we're all getting older, and we all need new medicine. >> we're going to be buying a lot of pfizer especially and bristol-myers. those are the two picks we have. pfizer is around 24, $25 a share, bristol-myers about 31. and they have in common a new blood-clotting drug, and everyone's very, very excited about that. bristol-myers developed it, and pfizer will be marketing it. so we hi there's huge opportunity -- we think th
of folks -- we've got wilbur ross coming on later on, he's investing in natural gas in china -- is that one sector in particular that we should look for plays in? >> we think it really is. and it's great to be coupled with a firm and an individual like wilbur with ross on this issue. of it's very food company, as far as i'm concerned. we very much like mops, master limited partnerships investments and also china. of you've mentioned mr. ross is very keen on china in general perhaps. we are, too, and we really expand that out to asia. we like the asian markets going forward into 20 and simply because the world is starving for growth. this is ab area of the world where growth is probably among the strongest in the world, and that's an area we think in 2013 that should do reasonably well. liz: sandy lincoln, look at these markets over the past year. you have double-digit games for the s&p, for the russell 2000, for the nasdaq. do we see that again in 2013, and are you very bullish going ahead? [laughter] >> i don't know about very bullish, but i think cautiously bullish. if you go back to nove
, japan, china, we will get a sneak preview of celebrations being planned as times square gets prepared for 1 million visitors. it is a complete nightmare. [ laughter ] ashley: time now for stocks now as we do every 15 minutes. we are up 51 points. not too bad on this last trading day of the year. >> that is right. the dow has been pretty flat. going back and forth between the red and green. the nasdaq is up 30. same goes for the s&p stock of about nine points. we are also watching a settlement between u.s. regulators and about a dozen banks. sources tell the "new york times" that 14 banks include tank of america, wells fargo and jpmorgan chase. we are taking a look at those stocks. back to you. ashley: diane, thank you very much. well, the question is, is the unthinkable about to become reality for back now, it is up to this man. on the right. vice president joe biden called in to help with the debt negotiations that we think are going nowhere. there are always rumors and whispers in the hallway. let's go to rich for the very latest on the progress. rich: there is progress, ashley. the
that is dominateing, india and china, but in the 60's they missed. the market economies are good and they grow their economies an they are catching up. today when we land, 2010, these are the countries that borrow money to the richest when they have their problems. >> i mind this raises two questions,r two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone w stuck on the lower left for thousandsof years, it has en 200 years that you have all of this activity and how come some countries are still stuck? >> it is easy to understand. the best message today is that most of the african countries are now in fas economic growth. they have corrected the wrong market ideas they had 20 years ago, and they have a much better ucation than, -- and tanzania is similar to thailand in 1972 and soon we will see african countries doing good. >> this is wonderful. our problems are solved w know what works and we will be rich. >>guest: no, we have this problemith two billion human beings in poverty. i did most of my research in the poor part of the world. all poor people a
go in this world. who would have guessed that china would have been a better place. guess what, so do we. or at least, a lot of people suspect we do be do do we get a deal? >> yes, we get a deal. it looks bad for everybody. 2013 will not be a good year for the president or republicans. stuart: this is varney and company. keep things short. don't we, dagen. dagen: if you are the one who dropped dead, it is your heirs who are in trouble. [ laughter ] stuart, happy new year. i am dagen mcdowell. bring in joe biden, the vice president called in to help with the negotiations. maybe we see some movement in the coming hour. a surprise in your check at the end of the week. the mess in washington leaves employers wondering how much they should with hold from your paycheck. the world, stuart was just showing you pictures of shanghai, the world already starting the celebration. the dawn of 2013. happy new year, everybody. there is a live look at shanghai, china. top of the hour. time now for stocks. >> good morning. searching for direction. not a big surprise for new year's eve. we have seen the
at 30%, or would you started in china or indiwhere the capital gains tax rate is zero? many of our major partners have zero capital gains tax rates. if you are an entrepreneur or an investment and growth company, you would rather put your money there than in the unit states in the futur which is really unfortunate. gerri: okay, let's talk about companies a little bit here. these tax rates are critical to growing companies. >> that's absolutely right. apple and microsoft, for example,enefited early on from high income individuals pumping and a few hundred thousand dollars to help those companies get started and grow. those high income people could alternatively put their money in and say tax-free muni bonds. if we raise the capital gains tax rates, which people are going to say, i'd rather put my money in state muni bos. i'm not i am not going to fund these risky growth companies, which would be terrible for the overall economy. gerri: i think your best argument is lower capital gains means more jobs. i think that is appealing to everybody. but i have to ask you one final question. it see
. >> we're supposed to have fun, but they're is a serious side to this. china has the ninth month abortions. when you destroy life on young side is not too far distance to go to the strait of the old site. i think some of that is happening. adam: do you think anybody will take that seriously? >> we will see what happens. >> is serious side of you. >> there is. very serious. adam: let's talk about kim kardashian. is the talk of the town. after eight months, kim is having a baby. the rapper announced it last night at a concert in atlantic city. kim's family has been tweeting their excitement. david, are you aware that the greatest contribution to mankind is a videotape. >> first of all, i didn't even know that she wasn't married. she's married to somebody else. so what married to people with whom there not. >> an artist. >> a fine example. >> right. >> have you seen that movie? i haven't. >> its online. it runs on cinemax after 2:00 a.m. >> another baby, another reality show. >> it is almost like a disease that will go away. enough of them already. >> enough of them. >> although he
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